Confluences

If nothing else we are pattern seeking machines. We are the very best pattern seeking machines. Sometimes this is a good thing, and it allows us time to flee from danger. Sometimes it’s not as useful, and we see the virgin Mary in grilled cheese.

We’ve all had the experience of buying something like a new car – a make and model you weren’t particularly familiar with prior to the purchase – then driving around town and seeing that make and model every where you look. You may not be aware that there’s a process running in your brain searching for those cars, but you’re sure aware of the results.

Recently I’ve been noticing quite frequently that two seemingly unrelated things in my life are somehow connected. They share a thread even though I came to them independently. It happened so many times I started keeping a list. They are minor, and it’s not the specific examples I find interesting – it’s the frequency.

Dec 11 – While playing Skyrim I was listening to Isaac Asimov’s Foundation. Shortly after a discussion in Foundation about transmutation my character in Skyrim found the Transmute spell. Do you know how often transmutation comes up in my life? Probably about as often as it does in yours.

Dec 12 – I listened to George Orwell’s Nineteen Eighty-Four, then the No Agenda Show. During an Adam Curry rant about human rights (already getting weird) he mentioned something that brought the “basic english” version of Wikipedia to my attention.  Basic English seems an awful lot like Newspeak.

At this point I decided this was happening all too often, and I should start keeping a list. I made a note about transmutation and Newspeak incidents. Minutes later, after moving on to other things, a blog entry I wrote here on September 16, 2010 called Information Out of Reach came up in a google search.

That takes us to today. I’m reading Arthur C. Clarke’s Rama series and listening to Scott Sigler’s The Crypt. Both feature convicts being tricked into boarding space-going vessels.

I think there’s a glitch in the matrix.

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Rise and Fall of the DVR?

It’s way too early to call but over the next week or so we’ll be experimenting with not having a cable box or dvr. The plan is to go 100% Roku (Netflix + Hulu Plus + Amazon Prime). The first night was mostly set up.

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Rules Geeks Know

If you spend enough time talking to geeks you’re going to run into these “laws”. Geeks will use them and expect you to know what they mean. They may assume you’re dumb if you don’t. You don’t have to memorize them but it will help to at least be familiar.

All credit to Wikipedia for the descriptions.

  • Moore’s law - An empirical observation stating that the complexity of integrated circuits doubles every 24 months. Outlined in 1965 by Gordon Moore, co-founder of Intel.
  • Godwin’s law - An adage in Internet culture that states, “As an online discussion grows longer, the probability of a comparison involving Nazis or Hitler approaches one.” Coined by Mike Godwin in 1990.
  • Dunbar’s number – A theoretical cognitive limit to the number of people with whom one can maintain stable social relationships. No precise value has been proposed for Dunbar’s number, but a commonly cited approximation is 150. First proposed by British anthropologist Robin Dunbar.
  • Clarke’s three laws – Formulated by Arthur C. Clarke. Several corollaries to these laws have also been proposed.
    • First law: When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is possible, he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is impossible, he is very probably wrong.
    • Second law: The only way of discovering the limits of the possible is to venture a little way past them into the impossible.
    • Third law: Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.
  • Occam’s razor – States that explanations should never multiply causes without necessity. (“Entia non sunt multiplicanda praeter necessitatem.”) When two explanations are offered for a phenomenon, the simplest full explanation is preferable. Named after William of Ockham (ca.1285–1349).
  • Hanlon’s razor – A corollary of Finagle’s law, and a play on Occam’s razor, normally taking the form, “Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity.” As with Finagle, possibly not strictly eponymous. Alternatively, “Do not invoke conspiracy as explanation when ignorance and incompetence will suffice, as conspiracy implies intelligence.”
  • Benford’s Law –  In lists of numbers from many (but not all) real-life sources of data, the leading digit is distributed in a specific, non-uniform way. According to this law, the first digit is 1 about 30% of the time, and larger digits occur as the leading digit with lower and lower frequency, to the point where 9 as a first digit occurs less than 5% of the time.
  • Hawthorne effect – A form of reactivity whereby subjects improve an aspect of their behavior being experimentally measured simply in response to the fact that they are being studied. Named after Hawthorne Works.
  • Heisenberg’s Uncertainty principle – States that one cannot measure values (with arbitrary precision) of certain conjugate quantities, which are pairs of observables of a single elementary particle. The most familiar of these pairs is position and momentum.
  • Bradford’s law – a pattern described by Samuel C. Bradford in 1934 that estimates the exponentially diminishing returns of extending a library search.
  • Bremermann’s limit – Named after Hans-Joachim Bremermann, is the maximum computational speed of a self-contained system in the material universe.
  • Brooks’ law – “Adding manpower to a late software project makes it later.” Named after Fred Brooks, author of the well known book on project management The Mythical Man-Month.
  • Dilbert principle – Coined by Scott Adams as a variation of the Peter Principle of employee advancement. Named after Adams’ Dilbert comic strip, it proposes that “the most ineffective workers are systematically moved to the place where they can do the least damage: management.”
  • Niven’s laws: “If the universe of discourse permits the possibility of time travel and of changing the past, then no time machine will be invented in that universe.”
  • The Three Laws of Robotics (often shortened to The Three Laws or Three Laws) are a set of rules devised by the science fiction author Isaac Asimov and later added to. The rules are introduced in his 1942 short story “Runaround“, although they were foreshadowed in a few earlier stories. The Three Laws are:
    • First Law: A robot may not injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm.
    • Second Law: A robot must obey the orders given to it by human beings, except where such orders would conflict with the First Law.
    • Third Law: A robot must protect its own existence as long as such protection does not conflict with the First or Second Laws.
  • Schneier’s law – “Any person can invent a security system so clever that she or he can’t think of how to break it.”

The first draft of this post had about twice as many laws but I pared it down a little. This is a good starting point. Other than Heisenberg I left most of the physics out. My intention here was to focus on computer sciences, math, and science fiction.

Extra Credit: Newton’s laws of motionArchimedes’ principleAvogadro’s lawBernoulli’s principle (which I also mention in my post “Questions, Not Answers Or The Physics of Flight“), Coulomb’s law, Einstein’s General and Special theories of relativity, Maxwell’s Equations (good luck), Kepler’s laws of planetary motion, and the Laws of Thermodynamics.

 

 

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Topics and Experts

These are some topics of interest to me and some of the personalities I follow on Twitter to learn more about them.

Physics
Neil deGrasse Tyson @neiltyson
Dave Goldberg @askaphysicist
Phil Plait @BadAstronomer

Language
Mignon Fogarty @GrammarGirl
Erin McKean @emckean

Food / Health
Darya Pino @summertomato
Tim Ferriss @tferriss
Belmont Butchery @BelmontButchery

Politics
Steve Silberman @stevesilberman
John C. Dvorak @THErealDVORAK

Finance / Tech
James Altucher @jaltucher
Kevin Rose @kevinrose

General Science
Bill Nye @TheScienceGuy
Salman Khan @khanacademy

Comedy
Albert Brooks @AlbertBrooks
Brian Malow @sciencecomedian
Larry Miller @LarryJMiller
Chris Hardwick @nerdist
Seth MacFarlane @SethMacFarlane
Adam Carolla @adamcarolla

Technology
Steve Gibson @SGpad / @GibsonResearch / @SGgrc
Bob Frankston @BobFrankston
Chris Messina @chrismessina
Jim Louderback @jlouderb
John Draper @jdcrunchman
Eric Schmidt @ericschmidt
Andy Rubin @Arubin
Matt Cutts @mattcutts
Tim Berners-Lee @timberners_lee
Gina Trapani @ginatrapani
Leo Laporte @leolaporte

Critical Thinking
John Allen Paulos @JohnAllenPaulos
Richard Dawkins @RichardDawkins
Sam Harris @SamHarrisOrg
Penn Jillette @pennjillette

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